Our philosophy
Trend Following For Real World Investors.
The new reality in three simple points
2. Managing It Can Mean More Dollars Printed -> Debasement
3. Bonds Take the Hit
- After-tax coupons can lose real value to inflation, potentially amounting to negative real returns even at nominal yields.
- Rising yields from debt/inflation fears can drive bond prices down.
- Stock-bond correlation breaks: both can fall together (as in 2022 and recent volatile periods), weakening diversification.
Bottom Line for Your Clients
The Opportunity
This is why optimized liquid alternatives matter now more than ever. They target low correlation to both stocks and bonds, seek absolute returns across cycles, and deliver more resilient outcomes with daily liquidity - exactly what today's portfolios can benefit from.
We believe the fiscal math isn't reversing soon. Advisors seeking to adapt may give clients a real edge. Bonds still play a role, but exclusivley depending on them as a portfolio diversifier? That's a risk we can help you reduce.
The Framework
A Good Alternative Has Three Jobs.
Diversify
Move independently - driven by a completely different force than what's already in the portfolio.
Contribute
Earn across market cycles - not just a crisis.
Be Ownable
Give clients a strategy they can stick with through difficult periods.
The Ownership Challenge
Many Trend Strategies Are Hard to Own.
The Dormancy Challenge
Multi-year flat periods are structural, not anomalous. Advisors defending a flat line year after year test the limits of any client relationship.
The Drawdown Challenge
When macro trends reverse, the strategy can spend years underwater. The duration tests client patience in ways pure equity drawdowns don't - and creates a return opportunity cost that's difficult to justify.
The Conviction Challenge
Performance cycles erode conviction before the strategy recovers. Advisors who can't defend a multi-year drawdown end up abandoning the allocation.
These aren't flaws in trend following itself - they're specific to where many trend strategies look for trends. The category earns its diversification. The problem is holding it long enough to benefit.